LENS — Lloyd's Exposure & Nexus System

Run Scenario

Select a threat scenario to model Lloyd's market exposure impact

Geopolitical

Strait of Hormuz Closure

IRGC mine deployment or military blockage seals the world's most critical oil chokepoint

$4.2bn

Exposure at risk

61 vessels
trapped

Conflict Escalation

Red Sea Full Closure

Houthi escalation to full commercial shipping blockade — all transits suspended

$2.8bn

Exposure at risk

48 vessels
diverted

Military Action

Taiwan Strait Conflict

PLA naval blockade of Taiwan escalates to armed conflict; strait closed to commercial traffic

$5.1bn

Exposure at risk

31 vessels
at risk

NATO / Alliance

Baltic Escalation

Russian military action against Baltic state triggers Article 5; Baltic Sea closes to commercial traffic

$1.4bn

Exposure at risk

18 vessels
affected

Mass Piracy Event

Gulf of Guinea Surge

Coordinated multi-vessel piracy campaign overwhelms Nigerian Navy; 6 simultaneous attacks

$890m

Exposure at risk

26 vessels
at risk

Regional War

India-Pakistan Naval Conflict

Escalation to open naval conflict closes Arabian Sea approaches; Karachi port under blockade

$2.1bn

Exposure at risk

38 vessels
at risk

New Scenario (AI)

Describe an RDS — the agent provisions zones, gathers exposure data & writes the briefing

New RDS Scenario

LENS Agentic Scenario Engine

Describe the Realistic Disaster Scenario

Suez + Bab-el-Mandeb closure

Malacca Strait blockade

Bosphorus / Black Sea mining

Panama Canal shutdown

Run Agent